A man named John Hussman, who is very smart with money, thinks that stocks (small pieces of companies) might not give people a lot of money for the next 12 years. He says this is because many people are buying stocks just because they are scared to miss out on making money, not because the companies are doing well. This could make it hard for people to earn much from their investments in the future. Read from source...

- The title is misleading and sensationalist, implying a definitive prediction of 12-year stock returns when the author does not provide any solid evidence or methodology to support such a claim. It also suggests that the market is nearing a peak, which could trigger FOMO and panic selling among investors who are influenced by emotions rather than rational analysis.
- The author relies heavily on authority bias, quoting John Hussman as a "Wall Street legend" without providing any context or qualifications for his expertise or track record. This could make readers trust his opinion blindly and overlook potential flaws in his reasoning or assumptions.
- The article contains several logical fallacies, such as post hoc ergo propter hoc (assuming that because A happened before B, A must have caused B), hasty generalization (drawing broad conclusions from insufficient or unrepresentative evidence), and false dilemma (presenting only two extreme options without considering other possibilities or nuances).
- The author uses vague and ambiguous terms such as "current market valuations" and "soft landing" without defining or explaining them clearly. This could create confusion among readers who are not familiar with the technical jargon or economic concepts involved. It also makes it easier for the author to manipulate the meaning or interpretation of these terms depending on his agenda or perspective.
- The article includes several irrelevant and inflammatory details, such as mentioning artificial intelligence without explaining how it relates to the stock market or investment strategy. This could be a deliberate attempt to appeal to fear or curiosity among readers who are not well-informed about this topic, but also distract from the main points of the argument.
- The article does not provide any balanced or objective analysis of the potential factors affecting the stock market performance or valuation. It only presents one side of the story, implying that there is a consensus among experts or analysts that supports the pessimistic outlook. This could create an echo chamber effect among readers who are not exposed to other perspectives or sources of information, reinforcing their confirmation bias and making them more susceptible to fear-mongering or herd behavior.