an article talks about a big company named Taiwan Semiconductor. They make very small parts inside computers, phones, and other electronics. These tiny parts are very important, and many people want them. The company made a lot of money in the past few months because they made so many tiny parts. People are very happy about this because it means the company is doing a good job. They think the company will keep making a lot of money in the future, especially because more and more people want those tiny parts for their electronics. Read from source...
The article titled "Taiwan Semiconductor Sees Boost from 3nm and 5nm Nodes, Analyst Highlights Q3 Outlook" has a few areas where critics could point out inconsistencies or irrational arguments.
1. In the article, it is mentioned that TSM's Q2 revenue beat estimates, yet shares fell 3.22%. The article does not explain this discrepancy, leaving readers confused about the context.
2. The performance of TSM can be attributed to strong demand for both the 3nm and 5nm nodes. However, the article does not delve deeper into why these nodes are in high demand or how this demand affects TSM's long-term strategy.
3. The article mentions that the financial results were partially offset by seasonal weakness in smartphone sales. But it does not explore the implications of this weakness on TSM's overall business.
4. While the analyst notes that TSM's fiscal 2024 third-quarter guidance is mainly due to the continued rise in AI-related demand and seasonal smartphone demand, the article does not explain how this demand is seasonal or the impact of AI-related demand on the company's future growth.
5. The article quotes an analyst raising the fiscal 2024 revenue guidance but does not explain why this is significant or what it means for TSM's future prospects.
6. The article concludes with a note that TSM shares traded lower by 3.50% at 165.82, but it does not explain why this happened or what it could mean for the company's future.
Critics could argue that the article lacks depth in its analysis of TSM's performance, guidance, and future prospects. It presents a superficial view of the company's business without diving deep into the underlying factors or implications.
Neutral
Taiwan Semiconductor reported Q2 revenue of $20.82 billion, beating estimates, but shares fell 3.22%. The market reaction was due to seasonal weakness in smartphone sales, and the quarter’s gross margin was slightly below consensus due to margin dilution from the N3 ramp. However, the company's fiscal 2024 third-quarter guidance, which included midpoint revenue of $22.80 billion, gross margin of 54.5%, and operating margin of 43.5%, all above consensus estimates, showed an upbeat outlook. The continued rise in AI-related demand and seasonal smartphone demand for both 3nm and 5nm nodes were cited as reasons for this guidance.
1. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSM)
- Reiterated Buy rating with a price target of $210.
- Reported Q2 revenue of $20.82 billion, beating estimates, but shares fell 3.22%.
- Strong demand for both the 3nm and 5nm nodes contributed 15% and 35% of total wafer revenue for the quarter, respectively.
- Fiscal 2024 third-quarter guidance includes midpoint revenue of $22.80 billion, gross margin of 54.5%, and operating margin of 43.5%, all above consensus estimates.
- Risks: Seasonal weakness in smartphone sales, margin dilution from the N3 ramp.
2. AI Chip Stocks: Nvidia, AMD, Taiwan Semi
- Selloff this week, but reasons are unclear.
- Market expectation is that these stocks will rebound as AI technology continues to rise.
3. Needham analyst Charles Shi's expectations:
- Fiscal 2024 revenue of $87.89 billion and earnings per ADS of $6.62.
- Fiscal 2025 revenue of $110.00 billion and earnings per ADS of $8.45.