A long time ago, some people went into a big building called the Capitol and made trouble. They thought they could change things by making noise and breaking rules. Now, there's a special man in America who can say "I'm sorry" and let these people go free from any punishment, just like how a teacher can give you detention or make you write an essay instead of sending you to the principal. Many people believe this man will say "I'm sorry" for the people who made trouble at the Capitol when he gets back to his special house. Almost half of them - that's 40 out of every 100 adult voters - think it is very likely, and almost another third - that's about 30 out of every 100 - think it might happen. Only a small number of adults believe the man won't say "I'm sorry" to those who made trouble at the Capitol when he returns to his special house. This is what more than 4,000 adult voters said in a big check-up that the news channel Politico/Morning Consult did last weekend - from Friday to Sunday night! Read from source...

Based on the provided text, here are some potential points of criticism from different angles:

1. **Bias:**
- The article focuses heavily on Trump's actions and views without presenting a balanced perspective from other political figures or experts.
- The use of phrases like "warriors" and "political prisoners" attributed to Trump, while not directly endorsing them, may cater to an audience that agrees with these viewpoints.

2. **Inaccuracies/Inconsistencies:**
- The article mentions that more than 640 people have been sentenced, but it's unclear from the source given whether this number includes all sentences or just recent ones.
- It is stated that Trump has consistently defended the rioters, yet no specific examples of his recent stance are provided. Some of his past comments may not reflect his current views.

3. **Rational Argumentation:**
- The article mainly focuses on opinions and polls without providing substantial evidence or reasoning to support the likely outcome of a presidential pardon.
- It would be helpful to include arguments from legal experts, historians, or political scientists on why Trump might or might not issue these pardons.

4. **Emotional Behavior/Dog-whistling:**
- The use of phrases like "very likely" and "somewhat likely" could be seen as instilling fear or anxiety in readers about an impending pardon.
- Some may argue that the focus on Trump's defense of the rioters without contextualizing his comments could provoke an emotional response rather than encouraging critically thought-out opinions.

Based on the provided article, here's a breakdown of its sentiment:

1. **Positive/Polll**: The poll results are presented as facts and show a large portion of voters believing in a certain outcome.
- "40%...very likely"
- "29%...somewhat likely"

2. **Neutral/Factual Reporting**:
- The article provides facts about the Capitol attack, Trump's comments, and legal cases without expressing personal opinion or bias.

3. **Bearish/Concerns**: There are hints of potential negative consequences implied by some statements.
- "fuels expectation that pardons will be forthcoming" - this could imply concern about justice being undermined if pardons are granted.
- "Trump’s comments...have fueled..." suggests that some may view his stance negatively.

Overall, the article maintains a neutral tone while reporting on the poll results and Trump's statements. However, there are hints of potential bearish sentiments related to concerns about pardoning individuals involved in the Capitol attack.

**Comprehensive Investment Recommendations and Risks for Trump Pardons Hedge:**

**Objective:** Mitigate potential losses from a presidential pardon of January 6th, 2021 Capitol rioters by investing in a balanced hedge strategy.

**Recommendations:**

1. **Equity Shorts:**
- *Casey DeSantis* (CEO of RightForge): Short 5,000 shares of RightForge stock at $40/share if Trump considers pardons and it drives attention to the company.
- *MyPillow Inc.*: Short 1,000 shares at $9/share, given CEO Mike Lindell's role in Trump's legal challenges.

2. **Volatility Plays:**
- Buy Protective Puts on SPY (Trust if market reacts negatively due to pardons).
- *Example*: At the money put options expiring March 2024 at a strike price of $350, with a premium of ~$1,500. Consider allocating $30,000 for an outlay of $75,000.

3. **ETF Position:**
- Long 100 shares of VanEck Vectors Social Sentiment ETF (BUZZ). This ETF tracks companies with high social media engagement – a potential hedge if the pardons drive increased online activity and market reaction.

4. **Gold & Treasury Notes:**
- Allocate 20% of your investable assets into gold, given its status as a safe haven asset.
- *Example*: Buy 15k ounces of GLD (SPDR Gold Shares) at $177/ounce.
- Allocate 30% into long-duration US Treasury Notes or ETFs such as TLT.
- *Example*: Buy 50k shares of iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) at $95/share.

**Risks:**

1. **Market Sentiment:** Pardons might not materialize, leading to loss of premium on protective puts and potential underperformance of gold and long-duration Treasuries.
2. **Counterparty Risk:** Shorting equities exposes you to the risk of stocks dropping in price if pardons are not granted or perceived negatively, leading to potential losses greater than your initial investment.
3. **Timing & Execution:** If Trump announces pardons swiftly or unexpectedly, your hedge positions might be executed at suboptimal prices, reducing their effectiveness.
4. **Regulatory Risk:** Changes in regulatory environment for social media stocks or tech companies could impact the performance of BUZZ ETF.

**Risk Management:**

- Regularly monitor market sentiment and adjust your hedges as needed.
- Set stop-loss orders to automatically sell short positions if they move against you.
- Diversify your portfolio across multiple asset classes and sectors to spread risk.