think of your market as a machine that is currently going up (bull market). But sometimes, not all parts (stocks) are going up at the same time. Some go up while others go down. So, when the total number of parts going up (new highs) is going down, and the number of parts going down is going up, then the machine is at risk of breaking down.
To keep track of the number of parts going up and down, we use a few tools (breadth indicators) such as:
1. 52-week highs: This measures how many stocks are reaching their highest price in the past 52 weeks. When this number goes down, it suggests the bull market may be running out of steam.
2. Percentage of stocks above their 200-day moving average: This measures how many stocks are going up in the long term. If this percentage goes down, it could mean the bull market is losing momentum.
3. Bullish Percent Index: This measures how many stocks are showing a bullish signal on their point & figure charts. If this percentage drops below 70%, it might signal a market top.
So, we look at these tools to see if they're showing signs of a decline in market strength, which could indicate an upcoming market top.
And remember, this isn't financial advice, just an explanation of how we might think about market breadth indicators in a very simplified way.
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1. In the current bull market, the domestic stock market has shown a significant upward trend, but the proportion of new highs has decreased, which is a sign of market vulnerability. Therefore, we advise investors to pay close attention to market trends and act rationally.
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These are just some investment recommendations and risks. Please consult with a professional investment advisor before making any investment decisions.