An article says that a company called Intuit is facing some risks with their products TurboTax and QuickBooks. Morgan Stanley, a big company that analyzes other companies, thinks that Intuit's stock price should be lower because of these risks. They say that people used to pay more money for Intuit's stock, but now it's less justified because the business has more cyclicality, which means it goes up and down more. So, the stock price might go down too. Read from source...

1. The article seems to have a negative tone and is overly critical of Intuit. The author may have pre-conceived notions about the company and is unable to view the situation objectively.
2. The article cites growing business cyclicality as a risk factor for Intuit. However, this is something that is inherent to many businesses and should be expected in the business cycle.
3. The article argues that Intuit's premium valuation is less justified today due to rising cyclicality and business risks. However, Intuit's premium valuation was previously warranted due to its monopoly status in key segments and lack of cyclicality. The author seems to ignore the fact that Intuit's recent introductions of Credit Karma and Mailchimp have increased revenue volatility, which is something that should be taken into account when assessing the company's valuation.
4. The article's use of moving averages and trend lines to predict future stock price trajectory is not a reliable method of prediction. This approach is based on the assumption that past trends will continue into the future, which is not always the case. It is irrational to assume that a stock's price will remain above or below its moving average indefinitely.

Overall, the article's tone and arguments appear to be driven by emotional behavior rather than a rational assessment of the facts. The author seems to be fixated on the negative aspects of Intuit's business and is unable to see the bigger picture.

Neutral

In the article titled `Intuit Faces Growing Risks in TurboTax and QuickBooks: Morgan Stanley Analyst`, the sentiment is neutral. It does not showcase any extreme bearish or bullish sentiments. The Morgan Stanley analyst has downgraded the stock from Overweight to Equal-Weight and lowered its price target, which could be considered bearish. However, it also highlights the risks in the business, making the overall sentiment neutral.

Intuit Inc (INTU) faces growing risks in its TurboTax and QuickBooks businesses, as per Morgan Stanley analyst Keith Weiss, who has downgraded Intuit's stock from Overweight to Equal-Weight and lowered its price target from $750 to $685. The analyst pointed out that Intuit's revenue has become more volatile since the introduction of Credit Karma and Mailchimp. Also, the current transition of the TurboTax business from DIY to Assisted presents additional near-term risks. With expectations already high at QuickBooks, the analyst noted that there is little room for error in that business, presenting an additional risk if execution is not perfect. As per the analyst, paying a premium multiple for Intuit is less justified today. Hence, Intuit's stock could face potential downside risks. Investors should closely monitor the developments in Intuit's businesses and consider their investment decisions accordingly.