Intel is a big company that makes computer parts. They had some problems in the past, but they think things will get better soon because of new products and more people using computers. Some other companies are doing better than Intel right now, especially in making special parts for thinking computers called AI accelerators. But Intel is working hard to catch up and make their own special parts. Some people who watch the stock market still like Intel's chances even though they didn't do very well last quarter because they think things will get better later on. Read from source...
- The title of the article is misleading and sensationalized. It implies that Intel is still a work in progress, but does not provide any evidence or argument to support this claim. It also suggests that Intel's turnaround efforts are taking root, which contradicts the disappointing Q1 results and the weak macro demand mentioned later in the article.
- The article lacks a clear structure and coherence. It jumps from one topic to another without providing a smooth transition or a logical connection. For example, it mentions Intel's US manufacturing assets offering potential, but then says that limited AI exposure could hamper growth. These two sentences do not follow each other logically or causally.
- The article relies too much on secondary sources and analyst opinions. It does not provide any primary data or facts to support its claims or arguments. For example, it cites Mizuho Securities as saying that Intel's future success depends on leveraging manufacturing synergies and managing competition from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd, but does not explain what these synergies are, how they can be achieved, or why TSMC is a threat. It also uses vague terms like "data-centric AI" and "stable compute server share" without defining them or explaining their significance for Intel's business.
Intel (INTC) is a leading chipmaker that has been facing challenges in its server and AI business segments. The company's revenue and earnings have been negatively impacted by the weak macro environment, supply chain constraints, and increased competition from rivals such as Nvidia. However, Intel still offers potential for growth in its data center and foundry businesses, as well as cost reductions and government grants to improve profitability.
Given these factors, I would recommend investors to consider the following:
1. Buy INTC with a target price of $50, based on a 12-month forward P/E ratio of 15 times and a dividend yield of 3.4%. This represents a significant upside potential from the current price of around $36. The stock is undervalued relative to its peers AMD and NVDA, which trade at higher P/E ratios and have lower dividend yields.
2. Hold INTC for the long term, as the company is expected to benefit from cyclical improvements, AI PC growth, and positive enterprise trends in the second half of 2023 and beyond. The Gaudi3 ramp, CHIPS grants, and cost reductions will also help boost earnings and margins over time.
3. Monitor INTC's progress in catching up with its rivals in the data-centric AI segment, as this could impact its market share and competitive position in the long run. The company is lagging behind Nvidia in this area, but expects to see growth from the Gaudi3 ramp in 2H 2023.
4. Be cautious of INTC's exposure to the server market, where it has been losing share to Nvidia and other competitors. The company is focusing on its foundry business and data center segment, but still faces risks from customer preferences and technological advances in AI accelerators.
5. Be aware of INTC's valuation and dividend sustainability, as the stock may face downward pressure if earnings and revenue disappoint or if the macro environment worsens. The company has a low P/S multiple compared to AMD and NVDA, but also pays a high dividend yield that could be at risk if its financial position deteriorates.