Tesla is a company that makes electric cars, which are cars that use batteries instead of gas to work. They made a car called Model Y, and it was very popular in California last year. A lot of people bought it even though it was more expensive than some other cars. Another company, Rivian, also made electric cars, but not as many people knew about them. However, after seeing how good Tesla's Model Y was, more people decided to buy Rivian cars too, and their sales went up a lot. This shows that many people in California like electric cars and want to use them instead of gas cars. Read from source...
- The title of the article is misleading as it implies that Tesla Model Y was the best-selling vehicle in California for 2023, but it only means among BEVs. A more accurate title would be "Tesla Model Y Best-Selling BEV In California For 2023".
- The article uses a vague term "people" to describe Tesla customers without providing any demographic or socioeconomic data. This makes it hard to assess the level of demand and willingness to pay for a Tesla vehicle in comparison to other cars.
- The article quotes Elon Musk's comment on Tesla customers stretching their wallets, but does not provide any evidence or statistics to support this claim. How much did the average Tesla customer spend on a car compared to the average spending on other high-volume cars? What factors influenced their decision to buy a Tesla over another car?
- The article praises Rivian for its jump in new registrations, but does not mention any specific features or benefits of its vehicles that made them appealing to customers. How did Rivian manage to increase its market share so significantly in such a short time? What challenges did it face and how did it overcome them?
- The article ends with a statement about California's growing EV adoption, but does not provide any context or comparison with other states or countries. How does California's EV market compare to the national or global average? What are the main drivers and barriers for EV adoption in California and elsewhere?
Bullish on Tesla, Neutral on Rivian
Based on the article, I would suggest the following trade ideas for Tesla and Rivian:
1. Buy Tesla stock (TSLA) as it is still dominating the BEV market in California and has a loyal customer base that is willing to pay a premium for its products. The Model Y's success shows that there is strong demand for Tesla's vehicles despite the price difference from other popular SUVs.
2. Sell short Rivian stock (RIVN) as it may face challenges in maintaining its high growth rate and profitability. While it had a impressive increase in registrations, it may not be able to sustain this momentum as competition intensifies and consumer preferences change. The R1S is currently ranked 10th among BEVs in California, which indicates that it has not yet reached the mainstream market.
3. Consider buying put options on Rivian stock (RIVN) as a hedge against further downside risk. This would allow you to profit if the stock price declines while limiting your potential losses if the stock rebounds. You could also use call options on Tesla stock (TSLA) as a hedge against market volatility or to leverage your position in case of a positive earnings surprise.
4. Monitor the BEV market share in California and the performance of other EV manufacturers such as Ford Motor Company (F), General Motors Company (GM), and Hyundai Motor Company (HYMNF). These companies may pose a threat to Tesla's dominance or offer attractive investment opportunities depending on their sales growth and profitability.
5. Keep an eye on the federal and state incentives for EV purchases, as well as the availability of charging infrastructure and battery technology advancements. These factors may influence consumer behavior and preferences in the EV market.