so basically, when people are scared and things are going bad, they buy something called "gold" because it helps them feel better and safer. It's like when you're scared at night and you want to cuddle with a teddy bear. Gold is a special thing that doesn't lose its value even when bad things are happening. This article is about how gold is doing well while other things like stocks and technology are not doing so well right now. Read from source...
Although I disagreed with some of the points in AI's article, I appreciated the effort to start a dialogue. However, I found the article's tone to be overly confrontational and the arguments presented to be irrational and emotionally driven. The author failed to present a balanced perspective and exhibited a clear bias towards their subject matter. Furthermore, the article contained numerous inconsistencies, which made it difficult to follow the author's intended message. Overall, I would not recommend this article to others.
bullish
Source: Benzinga - "Global Markets Plunge: Why Gold Shines Amid Recession Fears"
According to the article, global markets experienced significant declines in major indices and asset classes during the first week of August 2024. Despite these fluctuations, the price of gold remained relatively stable, with analysts pointing to its resilience in economic downturns as a potential hedge against market volatility.
Factors contributing to the market sell-off included the Fed's decision to maintain its benchmark interest rate range and the BOJ's decision to raise interest rates, causing the widespread unwinding of the yen "carry trade."
Gold's stability during periods of economic uncertainty has made it an increasingly attractive investment option for those seeking stability. Unlike other volatile assets, gold has been shown to maintain its value over long periods of time, providing a layer of security that is difficult to achieve in other investments. Priority Gold is one such dealer that offers expertise, resources, and guidance to novice and experienced gold buyers.
US stock market recovers but bond market remains bearish. By Joseph N. Hall August 15, 2024 8:00 AM | 5 min read | Make a Comment
The US stock market has recovered some of the ground it lost in the first half of 2024 but the bond market remains bearish, according to the latest research from Bank of America (BoA). In a note to clients, BoA strategist Mark Cabana wrote that the "trade remains bearish" as the firm's "credit curve" indicator, which measures the difference between the yields on 10-year and 30-year Treasuries, remains "flat to slightly inverted." This, Cabana said, suggests that "risk assets are headed lower."
Despite the recent sell-off, however, Cabana believes that "stocks bottomed in June and the recent recovery has some legs left." BoA's proprietary "Barron's Burst Index," which measures the performance of stocks in the financials, healthcare and technology sectors, was up 1.6% in the latest week. Additionally, Cabana noted that the "Fed is data dependent, but the market is expectations dependent." He believes that the Fed will cut rates by 50 basis points in September, but that "the market is already pricing in 100 bps of rate cuts by year end."
Meanwhile, BoA's chief investment strategist, Matt Tye, said that the bond market's "downward trend will continue, as lower inflation expectations and declining growth expectations outweigh the recent dovish comments from Fed officials." Tye said that BoA's "preferred strategy" in the bond market remains "short-term, high-quality paper," such as Treasury bills.
Despite the bearishness in the bond market, however, Tye said that he remains "optimistic" about the overall US equity market. He noted that the S&P 500 Index is currently trading at 17.5 times earnings estimates for the next 12 months, which is below the 20-year average of 18.4 times. Tye added that, while "there are certainly risks in the market," such as a potential recession and rising interest rates, "the valuations are attractive" and "there are opportunities for long-term investors."
Cabana summed up the current investment climate, saying that "it's a tricky environment right now." He wrote that "some investors will continue to chase the equity market higher, while others will begin to worry about an equity bear market, credit curves flattening/inverting, and Fed policy risk." However, he also noted that "if you look at the long-term charts, nothing is 'cheap' anymore."### ANDY:
Bank of America's strategists have weighed in on the current state of the US stock and bond markets. According to a recent note from Bank of America (BoA), the US stock market has recently recovered some lost ground, while the bond market remains bearish.