When there is too much supply (lots of oil coming into the market), the price of oil goes down. Because there is too much oil and people don't want to buy it at a higher price. This is what happened in the past. Now, there is a conflict in the Middle East where a lot of oil comes from. This conflict can cause the supply of oil to go down, making it harder to find and buy oil. If it is harder to find and buy oil, then the price of oil goes up. This is what is happening now. The price of oil is going up because people are worried there might not be enough oil for everyone. Read from source...
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Link to article: https://www.benzinga.com/archives/21242788/brent-crude-oil-prices-rise-amid-geopolitical-tensions
Title: Brent Crude Oil Prices Rise Amid Geopolitical Tensions
Article's body: Brent crude oil prices climbed to 74.55 USD per barrel by Wednesday, marking a significant increase driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The previous session saw prices surge by over 2% as fears grew over potential crude oil shortages due to the intensifying conflict in the region, particularly with Iran's heightened involvement. Iran, a key member of OPEC, holds substantial influence over global oil supplies. Its assertive stance in the Middle East conflict raises concerns about disruptions in energy exports, which could tighten the global oil market and push prices higher.
Mixed Market Sentiments Despite the upward pressure from geopolitical factors, the overall sentiment in the oil market remains mixed. One of the dampening factors is the weak demand from China, the world's largest oil importer. China's sluggish economic indicators have limited the potential for a sustained recovery in oil prices, as reduced industrial activity translates to lower energy consumption.
Adding to the complex market dynamics, the American Petroleum Institute (API) reported that US crude oil inventories decreased by 1.5 million barrels during the week. This decline was less than the anticipated drop of 2.1 million barrels, marking the second consecutive weekly decrease but suggesting that demand may not be as robust as expected.
Furthermore, the appreciating US dollar has not yet significantly impacted crude oil prices but could do so in the future. Typically, a stronger dollar makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies, potentially reducing global demand and applying downward pressure on prices.
Technical Analysis Of Brent Crude Oil
On the H4 chart, Brent crude found support at 69.90 USD, forming an upward wave targeting the 75.50 USD level. After reaching this point, a correction back to 72.66 USD is possible. Subsequently, there is potential for a new bullish wave extending to 78.20 USD, which serves as a local target. The MACD indicator technically supports this scenario; its signal line is below zero but trending sharply upwards, indicating increasing bullish momentum.
On the H1 chart, Brent broke above the 72.66 USD level
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