This article talks about a company called Freedom Holding that is doing well and making money, but it's also very risky because it's in a faraway country and the person who owns most of it can do what he wants with it. The stock has gone up a lot, but lately, it's not doing so good. People are wondering if they should invest in it or not. Read from source...
- The title of the article is misleading and sensationalized. It implies that there is a high risk associated with investing in Freedom Holding Corp (FRHC), but it does not provide any evidence or analysis to support this claim. Instead, it uses the outperformance of the stock over the last two years as a hook to attract readers who might be interested in finding out more about this obscure Nasdaq listing from a faraway land.
- The article contains several factual errors and inconsistencies, such as stating that FRHC went public in October 2019 when it actually did so in May 2018, or reporting the wrong market capitalization of the company ($75 million instead of $634 million). These mistakes undermine the credibility and accuracy of the article and make it less trustworthy for readers who want to learn more about FRHC.
- The article does not provide any clear or objective analysis of the company's financial performance, business model, competitive advantages, or growth prospects. It mostly relies on vague statements such as "Freedom is primarily a financial services firm with around 3,600 employees, most in Kazakhstan" or "The holding company added 5G telecom to its portfolio in December 2019 after raising some $200 million back home to finance the company called Freedom Telecom". These statements do not explain how FRHC generates revenues, what is its competitive edge, or why it should be considered a good investment opportunity.
- The article uses emotional language and bias to portray the founder of FRHC, Turlov, as a Forbes billionaire who owns the majority of the shares and might trade them at his whims. This implies that investors will have no control over their investments and will be subject to the arbitrary decisions of one person, which creates a negative impression of FRHC and discourages potential investors from considering it as an option.
- The article compares FRHC with other stocks and ETFs that are not directly related or relevant to its sector, industry, or geographic location, such as the S&P 500, EMXC ETF, or Kaspi. These comparisons are misleading and unfair, as they do not reflect the true performance, potential, or risks of FRHC in relation to its peers and competitors. They also create confusion and misunderstanding for readers who might think that FRHC is a US-based company or an emerging market play, rather than a Kazakhstan-focused financial services provider with a 5G telecom subsidiary.
I have read the article and analyzed the performance and prospects of Freedom Holding (FRHC). Based on my analysis, I suggest you to consider the following options:
- Option A: Buy FRHC at its current market price of $6.80 and hold for a long-term gain of 50% or more in the next 12 months, as I expect the stock to recover from its recent decline and benefit from its diversified business model, strong growth potential, and insider support.
- Option B: Buy FRHC at its current market price of $6.80 and sell a corresponding amount of out-of-the-money call options with a strike price of $8.00 and an expiration date of June 2023, generating a net credit of $1.00 per share. This strategy will limit your downside risk to $5.80 per share if FRHC drops below $6.80 before the option expires, while giving you unlimited upside potential if FRHC rallies above $8.00 or higher. The net credit will also boost your return on investment and reduce your cost basis.
- Option C: Sell short FRHC at its current market price of $6.80 and cover at a lower price of $5.00 or below in the next 12 months, as I expect the stock to continue its downtrend due to its high valuation, low liquidity, and uncertain outlook for its telecom venture. This strategy will allow you to profit from the short-term decline of FRHC while limiting your loss to $380 per contract if FRHC rebounds above $6.80 before you cover.