The S&P 500 is a big group of 500 companies that people can invest in, and when it goes up or down, it affects many other things in the economy. The article says that right now, most of these 500 companies are not doing well, which means the S&P 500 might go down more. So, if you want to buy some shares of these companies and make money from them, you should wait until more of them start to do better. The article also mentions something called a breadth indicator, which is like a score that tells us how many of these companies are doing well or not. Right now, the score is negative, so it's not a good time to buy. Read from source...
- The author claims that the breadth indicator has turned negative and implies that this is a bearish sign for the market. However, he does not provide any evidence or reasoning to support this claim, nor does he explain how the breadth indicator works or what it measures. This makes his argument weak and unconvincing.
- The author advises readers to avoid buying until the breadth indicator turns positive again. However, he does not specify a target value or range for the indicator, nor does he give any guidance on when or how to enter the market. This leaves readers with no clear strategy or plan of action.
- The author reveals that he owns S&P 500-related ETFs in his long-term buy-and-hold portfolio and is limiting short-term trade exposure on the long side until market conditions improve. This creates a conflict of interest, as he may be biased towards downplaying the market potential or overstating the risks. He also does not disclose any potential gains or losses from his trades, which would help readers assess his credibility and performance.
- The author uses emotional language and phrases such as "avoid buying", "get conservative", "time to start buying again" without providing any factual or logical basis for these statements. This may appeal to the emotions of some readers, but it also undermines his objectivity and professionalism.
- The author does not cite any sources or data to support his claims or assertions. He relies on anecdotal evidence and personal opinions, which are subjective and unreliable. He also does not acknowledge any counterarguments or alternative perspectives, which limits the scope and quality of his analysis.