ArcelorMittal is a big company that makes steel. Recently, some people who study money and businesses said that even though the world market for steel is not so good right now, ArcelorMittal is a good company to buy shares in. The shares of a company can go up and down in price, and if you buy shares of a company and the price goes up, you make money. The people who study money and businesses think ArcelorMittal's shares might be a good buy even though it's not so easy to make money with steel right now. They think the company has a lot of good things going for it, like a big balance sheet (which is like having a lot of money in the bank) and some good plans for the future that can help the price of the shares go up. Read from source...
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Upon reviewing the article titled `ArcelorMittal' Low Valuation Offers Significant Upside, Despite European Market Woes, Says Deutsche Bank`, I could not help but notice several inconsistencies, biases, and irrational arguments.
Firstly, the article highlights that 75% of ArcelorMittal's steel earnings are tied into attractive markets that trade at a premium to the company. However, it fails to acknowledge the significant impact that the remaining 25% of earnings could have on the company's overall performance.
Secondly, the article seems to place an excessive amount of importance on the European market, despite the fact that ArcelorMittal's solid balance sheet and improved portfolio quality should provide downside protection. This seems like an irrational argument because it wrongly holds the European business hostage.
Lastly, the article's price target of $31 per share is based on a fundamental point of view, but it doesn't seem to consider the potential impact of macroeconomic factors on the company's valuation.
In conclusion, while the article provides some valuable insights, it also contains several inconsistencies, biases, and irrational arguments that could undermine its overall effectiveness.
neutral
Reason: The article discusses Deutsche Bank's upgrade of ArcelorMittal to Buy and its price target increase to $31. Despite the upgrade, the article notes that shares are trading lower. Additionally, the article mentions European market woes and a tough H2, but also highlights ArcelorMittal's solid balance sheet and growth potential. The overall sentiment of the article is neutral, as it presents both positive and negative aspects of the company's situation.
Based on the article, ArcelorMittal is currently facing challenges in the European market. However, despite this, the company has a solid balance sheet, which offers some protection against a weak scenario. Additionally, the growth pipeline of ArcelorMittal suggests that there could be 25% EBITDA growth over the next 3-4 years. Deutsche Bank has upgraded the stock to Buy and raised its price target to $31. This upgrade is primarily based on the fact that 75% of ArcelorMittal's steel earnings come from attractive markets that trade at a premium to the company. As a result, there is significant upside potential, despite the low valuation multiples of 3-4x EV/EBITDA, which are currently held hostage by the European business (priced at zero). The midterm target price of approximately EUR 60/$31 per share is plausible, according to the analyst. However, the second half of the year may be tough, with forecasts slightly below market expectations, as weaker developed markets and a slowing Chinese sector have led to a significant correction in ArcelorMittal's shares.