Steel Dynamics is a big company that makes things out of metal. They are telling people that they expect to make less money in the third quarter of this year compared to the second quarter and the third quarter last year. They are making less money because they are selling their metal products for less money than they were selling them for before. This is happening even though they have a lot of orders for their products and they think people will want to buy more metal things in the future. The company has bought back some of its own money to show that it believes in itself. Read from source...
1. The author seemingly did not do adequate research on the rest of the steel industry, making it seem like Steel Dynamics is unique in experiencing pricing pressures. This is not the case, as most steel companies have been facing this issue for some time now.
2. The article is filled with jargon and acronyms that are not explained, making it difficult for readers who are not familiar with the steel industry to understand the article.
3. The author's analysis of Steel Dynamics' order backlog is inconsistent. They claim that the backlog remains steady but also say that pricing is at attractive levels, which would suggest growth rather than a slight dip in earnings.
4. The article appears to have a positive bias towards Steel Dynamics, as it does not delve into any potential weaknesses or issues within the company.
5. The author's argument that the growth of demand is likely to benefit Steel Dynamics, without acknowledging the potential negative impacts of rising interest rates or the uncertainty surrounding the U.S. infrastructure program, is irrational.
6. The author presents no counterarguments, ignoring the potential impacts of external factors on the company.
7. The article fails to mention any rivals in the steel industry, making it seem like Steel Dynamics is the only major player in this market.
8. Emotional language is used to describe the company's earnings guidance, characterizing it as a "decline," which may not be the best word to describe a slight drop in earnings.
9. The author does not explain why the metals recycling division's earnings are expected to be in line with the previous quarter's results.
10. The article is focused on the financial aspects of Steel Dynamics, neglecting the environmental and social impacts of the steel industry.
neutral
The article discusses Steel Dynamics' lowered Q3 earnings expectations amid pricing pressures. However, the company still reports steady business operations and strong backlog in the steel fabrication segment.
- Steel Dynamics (STLD) expects lower Q3 earnings amid pricing pressures, with earnings guidance in the $1.94-$1.98 per share range. This represents a decline from the company's Q2 2024 earnings of $2.72 per share and its Q3 2023 earnings of $3.47.
- STLD's steel operations profitability is expected to be significantly lower than the Q2 due to reduced average realized pricing in the flat rolled operations. However, flat rolled steel prices have stabilized and are showing improvement, with underlying demand remaining consistent.
- The metals recycling division's earnings for the Q3 2024 are anticipated to be in line with Q2 results, as steady volumes offset the impact of slightly lower realized pricing.
- In the steel fabrication segment, earnings are forecasted to be moderately lower than the previous quarter due to a slight dip in average realized pricing. However, the order backlog remains steady and extends into the Q1 2025, with pricing at attractive levels. Current order activity is stable and demand is expected to grow in 2025, fueled by an expected decline in interest rates, the U.S. infrastructure program and increasing onshoring efforts.
- Steel Dynamics repurchased $307 million worth of its common stock through Sept. 11, 2024, demonstrating continued confidence in the company's earnings outlook and cash flow.
### Risks:
- Pricing pressures and reduced average realized pricing in the flat rolled operations may significantly impact STLD's steel operations profitability.
- The metals recycling division's earnings may be impacted by slightly lower realized pricing.
- Earnings in the steel fabrication segment may be moderately lower than the previous quarter due to a slight dip in average realized pricing.
### Opportunities:
- The order backlog in the steel fabrication segment remains steady and extends into the Q1 2025, with pricing at attractive levels. Current order activity is stable and demand is expected to grow in 2025, fueled by an expected decline in interest rates, the U.S. infrastructure program and increasing onshoring efforts.
- Steel Dynamics repurchased $307 million worth of its common stock through Sept. 11, 2024, demonstrating continued confidence in the company's earnings outlook and cash flow.
- Better-ranked stocks in the Basic Materials space are Hawkins, Inc. (HWKN), Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) and Eldorado Gold Corporation (EGO), each sporting a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) at present.