A person who works with numbers and money (called an analyst) wrote a report about some companies that help people invest their money. The report says that in the year 2024, some of these companies will do better than others because they can grow faster or make more money. But other companies might not do so well because they have to pay more for things and face some challenges. The person who wrote the report also changed how much he thinks each company is worth (called a rating) and what price the company's stock should be. Read from source...
- The author seems to have a positive bias towards State Street Corporation and Ameriprise Financial Inc, as they are upgraded from Neutral to Buy without providing any clear reasons or evidence.
- The author also appears to have a negative bias against Blackstone Inc, Charles Schwab Corp, and Raymond James Financial Inc, as they are downgraded to Neutral from Buy based on weak arguments such as slowing management fee growth algorithm, outlook for lower rates, or rate sensitive asset base.
- The author does not provide any data, statistics, or facts to support their claims or opinions, making the article sound more like a personal agenda rather than an objective analysis of the sector's performance and prospects.
- The author uses emotional language such as "depressed levels", "anticipates", "downgraded", "boosted", etc., which may influence the reader's perception and decision making without providing any rational basis for their choices.
- The author also contradicts themselves by stating that they expect to see a wider dispersion in the share price performance in 2024, but then projecting a more constructive EPS growth trajectory for the sector as a whole, which seems illogical and inconsistent.
The article presents a mixed sentiment regarding the asset management sector in 2024. On one hand, it highlights potential challenges such as higher costs of capital, rate sensitivity, and competitive pressures. These factors contribute to a bearish outlook for some companies like Blackstone Inc, Charles Schwab Corp, and Raymond James Financial Inc. However, the article also mentions improvements in fee dynamics, share buybacks, and EPS growth expectations for other players in the sector, such as State Street Corporation and Ameriprise Financial Inc. This indicates a more positive sentiment towards these companies. Additionally, the analyst anticipates a wider dispersion in share price performance in 2024, suggesting that there will be both winners and losers in the asset management space. Overall, the article's sentiment can be considered neutral to slightly bullish as it acknowledges both challenges and opportunities for the sector in the coming years.
1. Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS): Buy, target price $425, risk: high exposure to market volatility and macroeconomic factors. However, GS has a diversified business model with strong growth potential in its asset management and investment banking segments. The recent acquisition of Nutmeg, a digital wealth management platform, also adds to its competitive edge in the European market.
2. Blackstone Inc (BX): Neutral, target price $105, risk: slowing growth in its asset management fees and potential downside risks to consensus EPS estimates. BX may face increased competition from alternative investment managers and regulatory hurdles in expanding its business globally.
3. Charles Schwab Corp (SCHW): Neutral, target price $100, risk: lower interest rates, competitive pressures in equities and energy, and reduced income from interest earnings. SCHW may also face challenges in maintaining its market share amidst the rising popularity of robo-advisors and passive investment products.
4. Raymond James Financial Inc (RJF): Neutral, target price $130, risk: rate sensitive asset base and limited offsets from expenses or capital returns. RJF may benefit from its strong wealth management franchise and diversified revenue streams, but also faces headwinds from the expected rise in interest rates and reduced liquidity in fixed income markets.
5. State Street Corporation (STT): Buy, target price $90, risk: low valuation and attractive dividend yield. STT has a liability-sensitive balance sheet, improving fees/expense dynamics and strong share buybacks, while offering a durable cash revenue outlook, expense discipline, and a robust capital return program.
6. Ameriprise Financial Inc (AMP): Buy, target price $270, risk: stable EPS growth and attractive valuation. AMP has a diverse product mix with strong exposure to retirement services and asset management fees. The company also benefits from its disciplined expense management and share repurchase program, which should support earnings growth and shareholder value.