This article is about how big investors think the economy will not have a bad time in 2024 and that some companies called tech giants will do well. They are also watching what the Federal Reserve does carefully because it can affect the market. The S&P 500, which measures how well the stock market is doing, went down a little bit at first but then got better. Read from source...
- The title suggests that there is a consensus among institutional investors that the economy will not experience a recession in 2024 and that they are long on Magnificent Seven (MS7) stocks and small caps. However, this is an exaggeration as the article only mentions the results of one survey by Bank of America, which may not represent the views of all institutional investors or other stakeholders in the market.
- The article relies heavily on the opinion of former CME economist Bluford Putnam, who is quoted as saying that he does not expect a hard landing in 2024 and that GDP growth will be around 2.5%-3%. This is an isolated perspective that may not take into account other factors or scenarios that could affect the economy and markets in 2024, such as geopolitical tensions, regulatory changes, technological disruptions, etc.
- The article does not provide any evidence or data to support the claim that MS7 stocks are the best way to play Fed rate cuts. This is a subjective and speculative argument that may be influenced by the author's personal bias or preference for these stocks. Moreover, the article does not consider the potential risks or challenges associated with investing in these stocks, such as valuation concerns, competition, regulation, etc.
- The article also fails to acknowledge the possibility of a soft landing, where economic activity slows down but has no major impact on earnings. This is a more realistic and balanced scenario than either a hard or no landing, which could be influenced by various external factors beyond the control of investors or policymakers.
- The article ends with a statement that the S&P 500 has regained some momentum after losing 1.5% during the first week of January. This is a vague and misleading statement, as it does not specify the time frame or the performance relative to other indices or benchmarks. It also implies that the market sentiment is positive and optimistic, which may not be supported by the actual data or trends in the market.
1. Long Magnificent Seven (MS7): The MS7 refers to the seven largest tech giants in the U.S., including Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Netflix and Nvidia. These stocks have been performing well in 2023 and are expected to continue benefiting from the Fed's rate cuts in 2024, as they provide high growth potential and stable earnings. This is also supported by the overwhelming majority of institutional investors being long on these stocks, indicating strong market sentiment and momentum.