This article is about how Ark Invest, a big company that invests money, thinks Bitcoin is very important and can help protect people's money when banks have problems. They also say that something called the "halving event" in April will make Bitcoin more valuable and start a time when it does really well. Read from source...
- The report title is misleading and exaggerated, as it claims that Bitcoin can cut its inflation rate in half by April 2024, implying a significant reduction in supply. However, the actual halving event will only reduce the new supply of bitcoins from ~1.8% to ~0.9%, which is not enough to significantly impact the overall inflation rate or price of Bitcoin.
- The report uses selective and cherry-picked data to support its bullish thesis on Bitcoin, such as comparing its performance during the banking crisis with other asset classes without considering the risk-adjusted returns or the historical volatility of Bitcoin. It also ignores the fact that Bitcoin has failed to maintain its value during previous crises and crashes, such as in March 2020 and November 2018.
- The report makes a weak argument for Bitcoin as a hedge against counterparty risk, as it does not explain how Bitcoin can provide a reliable and stable source of value in the face of systemic risks, such as cyberattacks, regulatory changes, or market manipulation. It also fails to acknowledge that other digital assets, such as Ethereum, have similar or better characteristics as a store of value and medium of exchange than Bitcoin.
- The report shows a strong bias towards Ark Invest's own investment strategy and interests, as it promotes Bitcoin as the main beneficiary of the upcoming halving event, while ignoring other factors that may affect its price and adoption, such as competition, innovation, regulation, or environmental impact. It also does not disclose any potential conflicts of interest or financial incentives behind the report's recommendations.