Alright, imagine you're playing a big game of "Grown-up Store" with your friends. You have different shops in town, and you're selling stuff to earn money.
Now, "On Holding AG" is one of these stores. They sell really cool sports shoes that people love to wear when they play or just walk around.
Every year, at the end of the game, we make what's called an "earnings report". It's like telling your friends how much money you made and if you did better than last time.
Here's what this report for "On Holding AG" said:
- We made CHF 51.2 million in one year, and that's a really good increase from last time (we grew by 6.98%!).
- Our sales were also super great, they went up to CHF 6.4 billion.
So, the game went really well for "On Holding AG" this year! Now, let's play again next year and see if we can do even better!
Read from source...
Here are some points in the provided text that a critical reader might question or highlight:
1. **Lack of Source Citation**: The text mentions analyst ratings and predictions, but it doesn't provide any source for these ratings. This makes it difficult to verify the information.
2. **Assuming Company's History Predicts Future**: The text assumes that because On Holding AG had a strong 2022, it will continue to do so in 2023. While historical performance is a factor, it doesn't guarantee future results.
3. **Vague Language**: Phrases like "strong growth" and "continued momentum" without specific figures or comparison make these statements less convincing.
4. **Emotional Language**: The use of words like "soaring" and "skyrocketing" can stir emotions but might not reflect the actual situation accurately.
5. **Ignoring Potential Risks**: The text doesn't mention any potential risks or challenges that On Holding AG could face in 2023, which is an important aspect of any analysis.
6. **Bias Towards Optimism**: There's no mention of any bearish views on the company. While it's possible that all analysts are bullish, this isn't specified, and a balanced view should include differing opinions.
7. **Over-reliance on Celebrities/Investors**: The mention of Roger Federer's investment could give some reassurance to investors, but it shouldn't be the main basis for an investment decision.
Here's how one might rewrite these points in a more neutral and informative way:
- "On Holding AG has shown strong performance in 2022. According to analysts, [provide specific figures or comparison], this trend is expected to continue into 2023."
- "While many analysts are bullish on On Holding AG, some may have different views which should also be considered ([mention any bearish views])."
- "[Mention potential risks or challenges the company might face in 2023]."
By addressing these points, the article can provide a more balanced and informative perspective for readers.
Based on the content of the article, here are the sentiment labels:
1. **Positive**: The article discusses On Holding AG's (ONON) strong financial performance:
- "strong growth"
- "record revenue"
- "operating profit almost tripled"
2. **Neutral/Bullish**: The article notes that the company revised its guidance upward and outlines future growth plans:
- "revision of full-year 2024 guidance"
- "ambitious growth targets for the next four to five years"
3. **Bearish/Neutral**: While the company had a good year, the article does mention challenges ahead:
- "headwinds in North America and China"
- "uncertainty and risks related to geopolitical tensions"
**Company Overview:**
- **Ticker:** ONON
- **Name:** On Holding AG (On Running)
- **Industry:** Apparel - Sportswear & Sneakers
- **Founders:** David Allemann, Marc Maurer, Martin Hoffmann
**Latest Earnings Update (Fiscal Year 2022):**
- **Actual EPS:** CHF 1.53 (Beat by $0.48)
- **EPS Surprise (%): +49%**
- **Actual Revenue:** CHF 771.1 million (Beat by CHF 67.7 million)
- **Rev Surprise (%): +9.5%**
**Analyst Ratings & Price Target:**
- **Outperform/Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) ($54)**
- **Buy/Goldman Sachs Group Inc ($50)**
- **Overweight/Saint Andrew Partnership Limited ($48)**
- **Hold/Morgan Stanley ($38)**
*Average price target:* $47.67 (Upside: +24% from current price)
**Key Risks:**
1. **Dependence on wholesale partners for sales and distribution:** Around 70% of On's revenue comes from its key wholesale partners, mainly in North America and Europe. A slowdown or reduced orders from these partners could significantly impact On's top line.
2. **Intense competition in the sportswear and sneakers market:** Established players like Nike, Adidas, Puma, and Under Armour dominate the market. On must continue to innovate and differentiate its products to maintain growth momentum.
3. **Risks related to expanding into new markets:** As On expands globally (e.g., China, Southeast Asia), it faces potential operational challenges, market acceptance issues, and regulatory hurdles.
4. **Supply chain disruptions and costs:** Like other consumer goods companies, On may face supply chain challenges and increased input costs that could impact its gross margins.
**Investment Recommendation:**
- **On Running (ONON)** presents an attractive growth story driven by strong demand for athleisure wear and unique proprietary technology in running shoes.
- The company's impressive earnings beats and increasing analyst sentiment indicate a promising outlook.
- Despite the risks outlined above, we maintain a **neutral to long-term positive view** on On and suggest considering shares at current levels with a focus on capital preservation due to near-term market uncertainties.